These and other causes of mangrove degradation – which include both human pressures (logging, land-use conversion, etc.) and the effects of climate change (i.e. sea-level rise, erosion, ocean climate, etc.) are well-known. However, not all mangroves suffer equally from these drivers of deforestation. In order to create tailored responses to address mangrove degradation in different regions, therefore, a greater understanding of how mangroves are affected at a local level by these factors is necessary.
This study, supported by the Nairobi Convention’s WIOSAP project and the Western Indian Ocean Marine Science Association (WIOMSA), examines the level of exposure to threats to mangroves in Kenya, Madagascar, Mozambique, and Tanzania. It finds that human pressure, erosion, drought, and sea-level changes are the main drivers of changes in mangrove cover in these four countries.
Specifically, mangroves in Mombasa and Kilifi, Kenya were severely threatened due to erosion, human pressure, and sea level. Mangroves in Lamu were only moderately exposed, however, while Kipini, southern Kenya, and Mida were low to moderately exposed.
In Tanzania, Pangani in the north, Bagamoyo in the centre, Lindi and Kilwa in the south, and Unguja were severely exposed because of high erosion, sea-level anomalies, and human pressures. Kilwa, for its part, was exposed as a result of land development intensity and drought conditions, while Tanga, Mafia, Mtwara and Rufiji were the least exposed mangrove areas in Tanzania.
In Mozambique, though exposure was low or moderate in several areas (namely, Inhambane, Zambezi, and Vilankulos), Angoche and Nacala were highly exposed due to sea-level anomaly, drought, and erosion. Maputo Bay and Nhangau (north of Beira town), meanwhile, were also severely exposed to human pressure, land development intensity, and erosion.
In Madagascar, however, all mangrove regions ranked as severely exposed, although the reasons for this exposure varied across the country. Northwest, southwest, and western Madagascar were all highly exposed to erosion, for example, while the southwest was also severely exposed to sea-level anomalies. While mangroves in Madagascar were all exposed to drought conditions, they were overall less impacted by human pressure than other countries in the region.